Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 4.966819 5.581980 6.253341 7.042001 7.945070 8.949135 10.153197
2025-01-05 4.047000 4.856656 5.808203 7.015080 8.513510 10.323694 12.692561
2025-01-12 3.449473 4.345135 5.457419 6.952414 8.927673 11.473777 15.045644
2025-01-19 2.893957 3.783306 4.935702 6.556350 8.805494 11.859121 16.392024
2025-01-26 2.618967 3.538507 4.776050 6.588904 9.219900 12.966788 18.829681
2025-02-02 2.457468 3.421172 4.763786 6.805851 9.895361 14.497195 22.067701
2025-02-09 2.296217 3.282423 4.699243 6.927916 10.428863 15.861407 25.221109
2025-02-16 2.149231 3.146782 4.620446 7.011048 10.898835 17.165886 28.442845
2025-02-23 2.019710 3.023050 4.543956 7.082895 11.348234 18.475771 31.843852
2025-03-02 1.845737 2.814732 4.316109 6.884619 11.322014 18.972109 33.850355
2025-03-09 1.717561 2.667014 4.169703 6.802658 11.477976 19.790681 36.552764
2025-03-16 1.602365 2.530437 4.028785 6.713853 11.607180 20.566860 39.271853
2025-03-23 1.560910 2.513875 4.088589 6.986122 12.431411 22.756763 45.231341
2025-03-30 1.473262 2.413018 3.997253 6.979737 12.736571 23.992643 49.414235
2025-04-06 1.385602 2.305153 3.884396 6.921695 12.933496 25.034018 53.341796
2025-04-13 1.254632 2.112398 3.606709 6.528450 12.425310 24.566006 53.763981
2025-04-20 1.198408 2.047915 3.554335 6.561028 12.779506 25.952942 58.767430
2025-04-27 1.172044 2.034920 3.594444 6.776975 13.535805 28.306554 66.549551
2025-05-04 1.134684 1.998848 3.588172 6.898461 14.103156 30.311612 73.829276
2025-05-11 1.095024 1.955548 3.564465 6.981195 14.593621 32.202898 81.173451
2025-05-18 1.056742 1.912112 3.536933 7.052697 15.065766 34.112799 88.947253
2025-05-25 0.991018 1.811634 3.389862 6.855375 14.896586 34.426710 92.226219
2025-06-01 0.942721 1.742081 3.299708 6.773808 14.990318 35.412200 97.678203